NFL Stat Analysis: Opposition Adjusted Quarterback Rating

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for NFLSportChannel.com

Published: September 25, 2009

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... Adjusted Quarterback Rating: Week Two
I recently put together a regression model to determine the factors that most drive the number of points a football team scores in any given game.  It's a work in progress, but the factors I looked at were:
  • Yards per attempt (Y/A)
  • Interception Percentage
  • Yards/Rush
  • Average Y/A yielded by opponent
  • Average points yielded by opponent
Of the variables above, Y/A was, by the far, the strongest—followed by interception percentage.  The other three were pretty close in importance.
You'll notice that a quarterback has a direct impact on two of the five. With that in mind, I decided ...

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