Developing An Effective NFL Drafting Strategy


Published: April 20, 2009


... follow Mel Kiper’s script for how the draft will go down.

The work that goes into the preparation of an effective drafting strategy is a complicated process that involves several distinctly different evaluations. Let's examine some of these analyses and processes, which include the following.

Player Ranking

This process is very straightforward. It involves ranking the prospects, regardless of position, from best player down. Prospects are ranked in a numerical order—from 1 to 500 for example—and are usually bundled into tiers. Each tier includes players with similar estimated contribution values.

The top tier on a team’s draft board includes the players identified as the top blue chip prospects, who are usually expected to make a significant, immediate impact if selected.

This year’s top tier is likely to include: Aaron Curry (LB, WFU), Jason Smith (OT, ...

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