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NFL Week Seven Rankings Updated: Top 25 Quarterbacks

Published: October 23, 2009

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Jay Cutler jumped up a few spots while injuries affected the bottom of the rankings. Let’s take a look at our updated QB rankings for Week Seven:

  1. Peyton Manning – Indianapolis Colts – at St. Louis
  2. Tom Brady – New England Patriots – at Tampa Bay
  3. Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers – at Cleveland
  4. Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints – at Miami
  5. Eli Manning – New York Giants – vs. Arizona
  6. Philip Rivers – San Diego Chargers – at Kansas City
  7. Matt Schaub – Houston Texans – vs. San Francisco
  8. Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons – at Dallas
  9. Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers – vs. Minnesota
  10. Kurt Warner – Arizona Cardinals – vs. New York Giants
  11. Jay Cutler – Chicago Bears – at Cincinnati
  12. Donovan McNabb – Philadelphia Eagles – at Washington
  13. Tony Romo – Dallas Cowboys – vs. Atlanta
  14. Carson Palmer – Cincinnati Bengals – vs. Chicago
  15. Brett Favre – Minnesota Vikings – at Pittsburgh
  16. Mark Sanchez – New York Jets – at Oakland
  17. Matt Cassel – Kansas City Chiefs – vs. San Diego
  18. Shaun Hill – San Francisco 49ers – at Houston
  19. Marc Bulger – St. Louis Rams – vs. Indianapolis
  20. Derek Anderson – Cleveland Browns – vs. Green Bay
  21. Jake Delhomme – Carolina Panthers – vs. Buffalo
  22. Ryan Fitzpatrick – Buffalo Bills – at Carolina
  23. Chad Henne – Miami Dolphins – vs. New Orleans
  24. Josh Johnson – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – vs. New England
  25. Jason Campbell – Washington Redskins – at Philadelphia

Notes:

  • Trent Edwards is out due to a concussion, so Ryan Fitzpatrick replaces him in the rankings, taking his spot.
  • Jason Campbell’s job is in jeopardy, so drop him to the bottom of our initial rankings.
  • Jay Cutler signed a new contract extension this week, deservedly so as he has been tremendous in the early going this season.  Concerns about the lack of talent surrounding him have been proven unfounded, as he has already thrown for over 1,200 yards and 10 TD.  He gets bumped up in place of Tony Romo, who has thrown for just 6 TD and hasn’t been able to get on the same page as Roy Williams.

Original Notes:

  • It was just last week where I said Peterson had to be the top rated RB no matter what. Well, I need to revise that statement. The Steelers are the second best running defense in the league, so while Peterson should still put up solid numbers, the chances of him putting up the biggest and best numbers of the week appears to be a long shot. Let’s just say that Peterson should be the top running back almost every week.
  • The Bills defense has been very prone to the rushing touchdown. We all know that DeAngelo Williams is a touchdown magnet. That seems like the perfect situation, doesn’t it?
  • Frank Gore is expected to return this week, but how much of the load is he going to shoulder? Glen Coffee should continue to get looks, meaning Gore’s value could be hindered a bit.
  • I know, LaDainian Tomlinson seventh? Really? It may change as the week progresses, but for now he easily could get healthy rushing against the porous Chiefs defense.
  • I’d rank Steve Jackson higher, but the potential of the Rams getting into a shootout with the Colts has to lower his value a bit for the upcoming week.
  • Rashard Mendenhall was the main back in week six and appears primed to shoulder the load over Willie Parker. That makes him a solid play in all formats.
  • Donald Brown could be a good option as a FLEX back this week. Who else likes the chances of the Colts in a romp?

What are your thoughts?  Who was left off the list?  Who should be higher?  Who should be lower?

Other Week 7 Rankings:

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

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NFL Week 6: Fantasy Football Target Trends

Published: October 20, 2009

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Targets is one of the hot stats this year for fantasy football owners, so let’s take a look at some of the recent trends:

 

Increase Targets (excluding those with Week 5 bye):

 

1. Derrick Mason: Baltimore Ravens: +11
2. Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: +9
2. DeSean Jackson: Philadelphia Eagles: +9
2. Brian Westbrook: Philadelphia Eagles: +9
2. Dustin Keller: New York Jets: +9
2. Chris Cooley: Washington Redskins: +9

Michael Sims-Walker didn’t have a bye, but he was suspended for Week 5 and therefore was not included on this list. The Eagles pretty much ditched the run, attempting just 14 rushes. That helps explain why both Jackson and Westbrook saw an increase in targets, but don’t expect them to continue at that pace.

It was nice to see Cooley get back in the mix, after being relegated to mostly blocking duties in Week 5. You should expect him to continue to see increased looks. Seeing Mason at the top of this list should not be a big surprise. He was stifled by the Bengals defense last week, but you knew the Ravens were going to try to get him the ball this time around.

 

Decrease in Targets:

 

1. Eddie Royal: Denver Broncos: -11
2. Michael Clayton: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -9
3. Antonio Bryant: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -8
3. Kellen Winslow: Tampa Bay Buccaneers: -8
5. Jamaal Charles: Kansas City Chiefs: -6
5. Todd Heap: Baltimore Ravens: -6
5. Muhsin Muhammad: Carolina Panthers: -6

Is it a big surprise to see the three Buccaneers on this list?  Having thrown the ball 50 times last week, they had no place to go but down. Eddie Royal may not have had the looks in the passing game, but he surely made an impact returning kicks, taking both a kickoff and a punt to the house.  He still has tremendous value and is useful in all formats.

 

Top Receivers Targeted:

1. Larry Fitzgerald: Arizona Cardinals: 15
2. Andre Johnson: Houston Texans: 14
2. Dwayne Bowe: Kansas City Chiefs: 14
4. Hines Ward: Pittsburgh Steelers: 12
4. DeSean Jackson: Philadelphia Eagles: 12
4. Derrick Mason: Baltimore Ravens: 11
7. Wes Welker: New England Patriots: 11
7. Ray Rice: Baltimore Ravens: 11
7. Lee Evans: Buffalo Bills: 11
7. Zach Miller: Oakland Raiders: 11
7. Brian Westbrook: Philadelphia Eagles: 11
7. Michael Sims-Walker: Jacksonville Jaguars: 11
13. Mohammad Massaquoi: Cleveland Browns: 10
13. Randy Moss: New England Patriots: 10
13. Dustin Keller: New York Jets: 10
13. Devin Hester: Chicago Bears: 10
13. Greg Olsen: Chicago Bears: 10
18. Tony Gonzalez: Atlanta Falcons: 9
18. Owen Daniels: Houston Texans: 9
18. Braylon Edwards: New York Jets: 9
18. Steve Breaston: Arizona Cardinals: 9
18. Mario Manningham: New York Giants: 9
18. Andre Caldwell: Cincinnati Bengals: 9
18. Mike Thomas: Jacksonville Jaguars: 9
18. Antonio Gates: San Diego Chargers: 9
18. Chris Cooley: Washington Redskins: 9

Only five players who were in the Top 20 in Week 5 were in the Top 20 this week (Wes Welker, Dwayne Bowe, Andre Johnson, Tony Gonzalez, and Owen Daniels). There were seven tight ends (Gonzalez, Daniels, Zach Miller, Dustin Keller, Greg Olsen, Antonio Gates, and Chris Cooley) in the Top 20 this week, compared to five (Gonzalez, Daniels, Vernon Davis, Kellen Winslow, and Todd Heap) in Week 5. Two running backs came in the Top 20 for Week 7 (Ray Rice and Brian Westbrook) after none were in the Top 20 last week.

 

Two Games of 10+ Targets over past three weeks:

Hines Ward-Pittsburgh Steelers, Dwayne Bowe-Kansas City Chiefs, Michael Sims-Walker-Jacksonville Jaguars, Andre Johnson-Houston-Texans, Mohammad Massaquoi-Cleveland Browns, Chad Ochocinco-Cincinnati Bengals, Derrick Mason-Baltimore Ravens

 

 

Three Games of 10+ Targets over past three weeks:

Wes Welker-New England Patriots

What are your thoughts on these trends?  Who stands out to you?

Need more help in trying to decide who to start this week, check out our weekly rankings by clicking here.

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

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Inside the Huddle: A Look at Sunday Afternoon from Week 6

Published: October 18, 2009

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It was a crazy afternoon of football with some star players shining with some huge performances.  You had QBs like Ben Roethlisberger (417 yards) and Tom Brady (6 TD). You had RB like Maurice Jones-Drew (3 TD) and Thomas Jones (210 yards).

You had WR/TE like Sidney Rice (176 yards) and Larry Fitzgerald (13 catches).  Let’s take a look at the good, the bad and the ugly from Week 6:

 

Green Bay Packers 26, Detroit Lions 0

  • With Calvin Johnson out of action, the Lions managed to do very little on offense. Already without Matthew Stafford, the Lions lost Dante Culpepper (6-14, 48 yards, 1 INT) in the second quarter due to a hamstring injury, forcing the team to use Drew Stanton (5-11, 57 yards, 2 INT), the third-string quarterback.  The only positive you can point to is Dennis Northcutt, who had five receptions for 40 yards.  That gives him 10 receptions over the past two weeks, though he is still doesn’t hold much value in any format.
  • The Green Bay Packers had four receivers with at least 50 yards receiving: Donald Driver (7 receptions, 70 yards), Greg Jennings (6 receptions, 64 yards), James Jones (2 receptions, 55 yards, 1 TD) and Jermichael Finley (5 receptions, 54 yards).  Over his past two games, Finley has been on fire, with 11 catches for 182 yards and 1 TD.  Tight ends are tough to depend on from week-to-week, but with Cleveland next on the schedule, he has to be an early favorite as a usable player in all formats.
  • How good is Aaron Rodgers?  He went 29-37 for 358 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT. That’s his second consecutive game over 350 yards, his third straight with two touchdown passes and he has thrown for at least one touchdown in all five of his starts this season.
Houston Texans 28, Cincinnati Bengals 17
  • Steve Slaton may not have gotten the job done on the ground, rushing the ball 19 times for 43 yards, but he surely delivered in the passing game.  He had six catches for 102 yards and a touchdown, showing why he is a must play in all formats.  He still has just one touchdown in the ground and hasn’t rushed for more than 76 yards in a game.
  • Slaton wasn’t the only Texan to deliver in the passing game, with Matt Schaub going 28-40 for 392 yards, 4 TD and 1 INT.  Andre Johnson had eight receptions for 135 yards, but the biggest star was Owen Daniels who caught seven passes for 78 yards and two touchdowns.  That’s 32 catches on the season, going for 374 yards, placing him among the best tight ends in the league.
  • Chad Ochocinco had five catches for 103 yards, his second straight game of over 90 yards.  He’s clearly re-emerged as a must start option in all formats.
  • Carson Palmer went 23-34 for 259 yards and 1 TD.  That is the fifth straight game with a TD, but with 8 TD vs. 6 INT, he is not necessarily a must-start option. He’s a good play in two-quarterback leagues, but outside of that it would really depend on the match-up and your other options.  With his next two games coming against the Bears and Ravens, you’re better off looking elsewhere.
Carolina Panthers 28, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21
  • The story for the Panthers was the running game, because they clearly did nothing passing the ball.  Jake Delhomme went 9-17 for 65 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT. He’s thrown at least one interception in all five games this season and he clearly is hindering the performance of someone like Steve Smith (who did leave with an injury).  Delhomme’s struggles drops Smith’s standing in all rankings at this point.
  • DeAngelo Williams went for 152 yards and 2 TD while Jonathan Stewart went for 110 yards and 1 TD.  Unless the passing game shows any life, look for them to continue to rely heavily on these two, making Stewart a solid play as a FLEX.
  • It appears that Carnell Williams (6 rushes, 77 yards, 1 TD) has gotten his grasp on the starting job, with Derrick Ward getting just one carry (and no more than nine in each of the past four games).  If you need the roster spot, I wouldn’t hesitate releasing Ward at this point.
Kansas City Chiefs 14, Washington Redskins 6
  • How bad are the Redskins?  I mean really?  Jason Campbell, who went 9-of-16 for 89 yards and 1 INT was pulled from the game.  At least Chris Cooley (5 catches, 57 yards) actually got to get involved in the passing game this week.
  • Concerns about Clinton Portis’ injuries should be alleviated, as he rushed for 109 yards while also catching three passes for an additional 15 yards.  I know, you’d like to see him find the end zone, but at least he is producing.
  • Dwayne Bowe had six catches for 109 yards while Larry Johnson rushed the ball 23 times for 83 yards (and also had three catches for 12 yards).  Needless to say, it wasn’t necessarily a pretty performance, despite the victory.  Johnson averaged just 3.6 yards per carry and broke off his longest run of the season, 17 yards.  It really is just a matter of time for Jamaal Charles to get a longer look.
Minnesota Vikings 33, Baltimore Ravens 31
  • It was a monster day for Ray Rice, despite being handed the ball just 10 times. He rushed for 77 yards and two touchdowns, but added 10 receptions for another 117 yards.  Feel free to drop Willis McGahee in all formats, as despite being a source of touchdowns early, this is now fully Rice’s team.  Over the past two weeks, he’s rushed for 146 yards, had 191 yards receiving and scored three touchdowns.
  • Let’s not ignore Joe Flacco, who went 28-of-43 for 385 yards and two touchdowns. It is the third time this season that he’s thrown for over 300 yards and has thrown at least one touchdown in all six games.  He’s quickly entrenching himself as a must start quarterback in all formats.
  • Yeah, Adrian Peterson rushed for 143 yards (and added 23 in the passing game), but the stories of the game for Sidney Rice (6 catches for 176 yards) and Vishante Shiancoe (4 catches for 48 yards and 2 TD).  Shiancoe has now scored a touchdown in three straight games and four of the last five, making him a solid play in all formats if you do not have one of the elite.  He’s not a must-start, however, so don’t grow too attached to him.  We all know how fickle the position’s production can be.
New Orleans Saints 48, New York Giants 27
  • The Giants defense simply got torched by Drew Brees and the Saints passing game, Brees went 23-30 for 369 yards and 4 TD, with each touchdown going to a different receiver.  Scoring was Marques Colston (8 catches, 166 yards, 1 TD), Lance Moore (6 catches, 78 yards, 1 TD), Robert Meachem (2 catches, 70 yards, 1 TD) and Jeremy Shockey (4 catches, 37 yards, 1 TD).
  • Ahmad Bradshaw carried the ball 10 times for 48 yards and a touchdown.  The Giants continue to work him into the offense and while he’s not worth using in most leagues, if you are in need of a FLEX option, he is a potential play there.
  • Hakeem Nicks caught five passes for 114 yards and one touchdown giving him scores in three straight games.  This one came in garbage time, so I wouldn’t get too excited.  He’s the third receiver on the Giants, with most of the opportunities going to Steve Smith and Mario Manningham.
Pittsburgh Steelers 27, Cleveland Browns 14
  • After a terrible week for Derek Anderson and the passing game last week, they weren’t much better against a stifling Steelers defense.  Anderson threw for just 122 yards, most of which went to Mohammad Massaquoi (5 catches for 83 yards). They also did little in the running game, with Joshua Cribbs (45 yards) leading the way over James Harrison (26 yards) and Jamal Lewis (21 yards).  The moral of this story is the Browns offense is a mess right now, so look to other options outside of the deepest of formats.
  • Rashard Mendenhall was the main back, rushing the ball 17 times for 62 yards and a touchdown (plus two receptions for 15 yards).  Seeing him get the bulk of the carries with Willie Parker (7 catches for 26 yards) back in the mix should speak volumes to fantasy owners.  Keep Mendenhall active in all formats.
  • There were some impressive passing performances, but none more than Ben Roethlisberger who went 23-35 for 417 yards, 2 TD and 1 INT.  Three receivers had more than 80 yards: Hines Ward (8 catches, 159 yards, 1 TD), Santonio Holmes (5 catches, 104 yards) and Heath Miller (5 catches, 80 yards, 1 TD).  At this point, who is the top WR for the Steelers, Ward or Holmes?  It certainly appears to be Ward, doesn’t it?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23, St. Louis Rams 20 (Overtime)
  • Can you believe that the Rams lost Donnie Avery (1 catch, 17 yards, 1 TD) to an injury in the first half?  Steven Jackson really is the only weapon the team has, as he rushed for 50 yards as well as caught six passes for 78 yards.  Outside of him, don’t bother with anyone else on the team.
  • David Garrard had 335 yards passing, but didn’t find the end zone once.  Still, he got the ball to the returning Michael Sims-Walker (9 catches for 120 yards) and Torry Holt (5 catches for 101 yards), who had something to prove against his former team.
  • Maurice Jones-Drew was the star, however, rushing the ball 33 times for 133 yards and three touchdowns (as well as catching five passes for 45 yards). He had been invisible the previous two weeks, but this is the second time he’s exploded for three touchdowns in a game.  He appears to be an inconsistent option, but one that can carry your team to victory in any given week.
Oakland Raiders 13, Philadelphia Eagles 9
  • To say that this was the upset of the day would be an understatement.  The Eagles had some movement as well, with Brian Westbrook leading the way.  He rushed the ball six times for 50 yards while adding nine receptions for 91 yards. The real question, however, is why the team only rushed the ball 14 times on the day?  This is a run defense that is pretty porous, including having given up over 100 yards to Correll Buckhalter and Ahmad Bradshaw this season.
  • Zack Miller had the big game for the Raiders, perpetuating the notion that you never know which tight end will have a big day.  He caught six passes for 139 yards and one touchdown.  That included an 86-yard touchdown grab, something I wouldn’t expect him to do very often, especially with JaMarcus Russell running the show.  With is two interceptions in this game, he has six on the season versus just two touchdowns.
  • It was Justin Fargas, who was the main back for Oakland, rushing the ball 23 times for 87 yards.  He is potentially usable in deeper formats, but he certainly shouldn’t be considered a must start by any stretch.
Arizona Cardinals 27, Seattle Seahawks 3
  • Beanie Wells continues to be a non-factor in the Cardinals offense, rushing the ball 12 times for 29 yards and catching one pass for seven yards.  Sooner or later, you have to think the Cardinals are going to give him a chance to make an impact, so for now just leave him sitting on your bench for as long as you can.  You don’t want to come to regret releasing him too soon.
  • The Cardinals wide receiver trio all made an impact, with Larry Fitzgerald (13 catches, 100 yards, 1 TD), Steve Breaston (7 catches, 77 yards, 1 TD) and Anquan Boldin (6 catches, 54 yards).  All three are solid options in all formats as long as they are healthy.
  • Where was the Seahawks offense?  First of all, their leading rusher was Julius Jones with five rushes for five yards.  No, that wasn’t a typo.  Just to make it worse, they had no receiver catch more than four passes (T.J. Houshmandzadeh) or have more than 55 yards (John Carlson).  The game was a disaster, there’s no other way to put it.
New England Patriots 59, Tennessee Titans 0
  • The Titans had -7 yards passing.  Again, not a typo.  Kerry Collins went 2-12 for -7 yards, with Vince Young going 0-2.  Has anyone seen a team throw for negative yardage very often?  I would expect a significantly better performance next week against Jacksonville, so don’t flock away from the Titans receivers so quickly.
  • Chris Johnson was the lone bright spot for Tennessee, rushing for 128 yards on 17 carries.
  • While the Titans had just one bright spot, everything appeared to be a bright spot for New England.  Tom Brady went 29-34 for 380 yards and 6 TD.  Wes Welker had 10 receptions for 150 yards and 2 TD (he has 36 catches in just four games). Randy Moss broke out of his funk, catching 8 passes for 129 yards and 3 TD (he entered the day with just 1 TD).  Lawrence Maroney rushed the ball 16 times for 123 yards and 1 TD.  All you can say about this performance is wow.  There is no reason to ever doubt Brady and company because you know, sooner or later, they are going to get things on track.

 

Buffalo Bills 16, New York Jets 13 (Overtime)

  • Trent Edwards started well, going 5-for-5 for 43 yards, but was forced from the game with a concussion.  He only has potential value in two quarterback formats at this point, so stay tuned if you are in need next week.
  • It was an awful performance from Mark Sanchez, who went 10-for-29 for 119 yards, 0 TD and 5 INT.  He entered the day having thrown five interceptions over his first five career starts and this performance has to knock him down a few pegs (he has just one touchdown pass over his last three games).  Granted, he should still be viewed as a potential option in two quarterback formats against the Raiders next week.
  • While Sanchez struggled, Thomas Jones stepped up in a big way.  He rushed the ball 22 times for 210 yards and one touchdown (plus two catches for 17 yards).  While it was a huge day, how often do you expect him to average 9.5 yards per carry?  Leon Washington had 15 carries for 99 yards while catching three balls for 46 yards.  If Jones isn’t going to see the bulk of the carries while he’s as hot as he was in this one, you have to think he never will.  I wouldn’t get too excited by this performance, since it appears he’s going to be sharing time going forward.

What do you think was the biggest story coming out of yesterday’s games?  Who was the brightest star?  Who was the biggest disappointment?

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

Read more NFL news on BleacherReport.com


Week Six Fantasy Rankings: Top 15 Tight Ends

Published: October 17, 2009

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We all know that tight end is one of the most unpredictable positions to rank from week-to-week, with any player having the potential to post a big day. With that said, let’s take a look at how I’d rank them for the upcoming week:

  1. Antonio Gates—San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
  2. Tony Gonzalez—Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears
  3. Owen Daniels—Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals
  4. Kellen Winslow—Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers
  5. John Carlson—Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
  6. Brent Celek—Philadelphia Eagles at Oakland Raiders
  7. Heath Miller—Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
  8. Chris Cooley—Washington Redskins vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  9. Dustin Keller—New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
  10. Greg Olsen—Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
  11. Jeremy Shockey—New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants
  12. Jermichael Finley—Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
  13. Todd Heap—Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings
  14. Zach Miller—Oakland Raiders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
  15. Vishantae Shiancoe—Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens

Quick Thoughts:

  • The Broncos have the fifth best passing defense, so it seems a little bit odd to rank a tight end facing them as the best in the league for this week. What the Broncos have done well is to limit 20+ yard plays (nine) and 40+ yard plays (one). That would appear to open things up for some dump down passes, wouldn’t it?
  • Celek may be the biggest surprise from the tight end position in 2009 and a game against the lowly Raiders shouldn’t slow him down. He did see his production slip a bit last week with the return of Donovan McNabb, however, so keep that in mind.
  • While Keller hasn’t quite lived up to expectations thus far, with Jericho Cotchery out of action this week it opens the door for him to make an impact. Like the Broncos, the Bills have also limited the big plays, so look for the Jets to work the short passes.

Other Week 6 Rankings:

What are your thoughts?  Who was left off the list?  Who should be higher?  Who should be lower?

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

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Week 6 Fantasy Rankings: Top 25 Running Backs

Published: October 15, 2009

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Earlier this morning we posted our rankings for the quarterbacks in Week Six (click here to view). Next up is this week’s running back rankings. Who could be in store for a big day? Who could be ready to disappoint? Let’s take a look:

  1. Adrian Peterson – Minnesota Vikings vs. Baltimore Ravens
  2. Maurice Jones-Drew – Jacksonville Jaguars vs. St. Louis Rams
  3. Cedric Benson – Cincinnati Bengals vs. Houston Texans
  4. Michael Turner – Atlanta Falcons vs. Chicago Bears
  5. Chris Johnson – Tennessee Titans at New England Patriots
  6. Matt Forte – Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
  7. Clinton Portis – Washington Redskins vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  8. Rashard Mendenhall – Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
  9. Ryan Grant – Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions
  10. Kevin Smith – Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
  11. DeAngelo Williams – Carolina Panthers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  12. LaDainian Tomlinson – San Diego Chargers vs. Denver Broncos
  13. Steven Jackson – St. Louis Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars
  14. Steve Slaton – Houston Texans at Cincinnati Bengals
  15. Knowshown Moreno – Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers
  16. Brandon Jacobs – New York Giants at New Orleans Saints
  17. Ray Rice – Baltimore Ravens at Minnesota Vikings
  18. Marshawn Lynch – Buffalo Bills vs. New York Jets
  19. Thomas Jones – New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
  20. Pierre Thomas – New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants
  21. Tim Hightower – Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks
  22. Julius Jones – Seattle Seahawks vs. Arizona Cardinals
  23. Sammy Morris – New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans
  24. Ahmad Bradshaw – New York Giants at New Orleans Saints
  25. Carnell Williams – Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers

Quick Thoughts:

  • I don’t care what the matchup is, Adrian Peterson should be considered the top running back.
  • It seems weird to see Cedric Benson among the top three running backs, but he’s averaging more than four yards a carry and gets to take on the team giving up the most yards per carry in the NFL. He has the potential to have a huge week.
  • Clinton Portis finally found the end zone last week and he did it not once, but twice. Look for him to continue the good times against the Chiefs.
  • Normally, I’d rank Brian Westbrook significantly higher, but his injury troubles as well as the presence of LeSean McCoy significantly decreases his value this week.
  • If it wasn’t for the breakout of Ahmad Bradshaw, Brandon Jacobs would easily be a top 10 back this week. As it is, both Bradshaw and Jacobs will likely make an impact.
  • Is Pierre Thomas healthy? Will he be the featured back or share carries? Those questions certainly hurt his potential value.
  • I’m not big on Thomas Jones, especially with Leon Washington (and maybe even Shonn Greene) sharing carries. Still, after the debacle we saw in Buffalo last week, would it surprise anyone to see the Jets lean on the running game this week? That gives him a ton of potential to perform significantly better than his ranking here.

What are your thoughts? Who was left off the list? Who should be higher? Who should be lower?

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

Read more NFL news on BleacherReport.com


Waiver Worthy: Week Five Fallout: Austin, Maclin, and More

Published: October 13, 2009

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Let’s take a look at some players who are potentially on your waiver wire after Week Five and determine if they are worth owning or not:

Miles AustinWRDallas Cowboys
He had a humongous day, going off for 10 catches, 250 yards and two touchdowns in the absence of Roy Williams. It’s not like Williams has been excessively impressive, is it? The early word coming out of this game is that Austin is going to see an increased role in the offense, despite the team not coming out and specifically crowning him one of their starting wide outs. Still, if you have room on your bench, he’s certainly worth stashing heading into his bye week.
Verdict: Should be owned in all formats.

Jeremy MaclinWRPhiladelphia Eagles
He was solid in the return of Donovan McNabb, catching six passes for 142 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Of course, the rookie isn’t expected to be the main focus in the offense, with DeSean Jackson entrenched as the top receiver as well as Brian Westbrook always being in the mix. Still, Maclin has the potential to have solid games like this one on occasion, meaning that owners in deeper formats can own him.
Verdict: Leave for those in deeper formats where he can be a fill-in option.

Austin CollieWRIndianapolis Colts
For the second straight week, Collie put up big statistics. While he’s been great, they have a bye week on the horizon and the imminent return of Anthony Gonzalez is growing nearer and nearer. Once he returns, Collie’s role in the offense is likely to diminish, meaning now may not be the best time to stash him away.
Verdict: While he could prove usable as a bye week replacement in the future, that’s all I’d view him as.

Tashard ChoiceRBDallas Cowboys
Is he going to remain part of the rotation once Felix Jones is back in the mix? It will be an awfully crowded backfield between Jones, Choice and Marion Barber, so depending on Choice doesn’t seem like the best idea. Barber is likely to be the main back, but none will be a guarantee for a huge week.
Verdict: Too many backs to depend on. Look elsewhere outside of leagues with a FLEX.

Donnie AveryWRSt. Louis Rams
Someone has to have a good game now and then for this terrible team, right? I know, it’s usually Steven Jackson, but someone else is entitled. Still, with how bad this offense is, you don’t want to be depending on anyone.
Verdict: Not worth using considering the offense he’s in.

Chester TaylorRBMinnesota Vikings
Yeah, he had a somewhat decent game in a blowout (20 yards, 1 TD), but that’s about the only way he’s going to get an opportunity to really contribute. Next week the Vikings draw the Ravens, so it’s unlikely that’s about to happen.
Verdict: Don’t use in any format.

Josh JohnsonQBTampa Bay Buccaneers
Does anyone expect Tampa Bay to throw the ball 50 times very often? Even with all those attempts, he only had 240 yards while throwing three interceptions.  He’s a desperation play in two quarterback formats and even then, you should be able to find someone better.
Verdict: Only use as a bye week fill-in if you have no other option in two quarterback formats.

Mike WallaceWRPittsburgh Steelers
He’s put together a couple of strong weeks in a row, but we all know that he’s the fourth option on his own team. That makes him a tough play.
Verdict: There are certainly more dependable options available.

What are your thoughts on these players? Which would you grab? Which would you avoid?

This article is also featured on www.rotoprofessor.com/football

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Target Trends: Increase, Decreases & More From Week Five

Published: October 12, 2009

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Increase Targets (excluding those with Week Four bye):

1. ‘Michael Clayton – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – +10
2. Eddie Royal – Denver Broncos – +9
2. Kellen Winslow – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – +9
4. Vernon Davis – San Francisco 49ers – +8
5. Miles Austin – Dallas Cowboys – +7
5. Jamal Charles – Kansas City Chiefs – +7

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers threw the ball 50 times this week, due to being down big to the Eagles early on (21-7 on the half).  I wouldn’t expect either Clayton or Winslow to continue to see these high target totals throughout the season.
  • Davis is one of the main receivers for the 49ers, but with Michael Crabtree finally signing his focus in the offense could decrease in time.
  • Royal has been one of the bigger disappointments, but Sunday could be his coming out party.  Obviously, 15 targets isn’t going to happen often, but it’s certainly nice to see him having a huge day.
  • Austin certainly benefited from Roy Williams absence while Charles benefited from Larry Johnson’s inability.  Both could continue to have big days in the future.

Decrease in Targets:
1. Steve Smith – New York Giants – -12
2. Mike Sims-Walker – Jacksonville Jaguars – -11
2. Calvin Johnson – Detroit Lions – -11
4. Chris Cooley – Washington Redskins – -10
4. Derrick Mason – Tennessee Titans – -10

  • Yes, Steve Smith saw a huge decrease in his focus in the offense, but the Giants just didn’t need him in their romp of the Raiders.  I wouldn’t be concerned.
  • Sims-Walker didn’t get a look since he didn’t even suit up for the game.  He should return to a prime position in the offense assuming he can return from the suspension and there is no lingering problems.
  • Johnson’s day ended abruptly due to injury.  Early word is that it is not a serious injury, so hopefully it will not affect him moving forward.
  • An injury to Chris Samuels forced the Redskins to use Cooley more as a blocker.  He ultimately was not targeted a single time, so if Samuels cannot return to the field next week you are going to want to look elsewhere for a tight end.  While they’d have a week to game plan better, he becomes too big of a risk.
  • Mason simply had a bad day, but I wouldn’t expect it to continue.  The Bengals defense was solid, forcing the Ravens to instead try to get the ball more to Ray Rice and Todd Heap.
Top Receivers Targeted:
1. Miles Austin – Dallas Cowboys – 15
1. Eddie Royal – Denver Broncos – 15
1. Wes Welker – New England Patriots – 15
4. Andre Johnson – Houston Texans – 14
5. Anquan Boldin – Arizona Cardinals – 12
5. Vernon Davis – San Francisco 49ers – 12
5. Kellen Winslow – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 12
5. Mark Clayton – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 12
9. Brandon Marshall – Denver Broncos – 11
9. Torry Holt – Jacksonville Jaguars – 11
9. Antonio Bryant – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 11
12. Roddy White – Atlanta Falcons – 10
12. Tony Gonzalez – Atlanta Falcons – 10
12. Mushin Muhammad – Carolina Panthers – 10
12. Chad Ochocinco – Cincinnati Bengals – 10
12. Owen Daniels – Houston Texans – 10
12. Dwayne Bowe – Kansas City Chiefs – 10
12. Joseph Addai – Indianapolis Colts – 10
18. Todd Heap – Baltimore Ravens – 9
18. Josh Morgan – San Francisco 49ers – 9
18. Keenan Burton –  St. Louis Rams – 9
  • I’ll get much more into this later in the week during our Trade Target column.

What are your thoughts on the trends?  Where is the biggest surprise?

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Waiver Worthy: Rashard Mendenhall and More Make Week Four Fantasy Moves

Published: October 6, 2009

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Let’s take a look at some players who are potentially on your waiver wire after Week Four and determine if they are worth owning or not:

Rashard Mendenhall—Running BackPittsburgh SteelersThere have been questions surrounding Willie Parker since the preseason. With Mendenhall performing as he did (165 yards rushing, 26 yards receiving and 2 TD), owners of Parker have got to be nervous unless you had already handcuffed him. At the very least, you have to believe that Mendenhall will likely see an increased role in the coming weeks. At worst, Parker (who was averaging just 3.1 yards per carry), becomes the understudy. Either way, Mendenhall is worth grabbing in any format.
Verdict: Worthy of owning in all formats.

Mohamed MassaquoiWide ReceiverCleveland BrownsBad teams spawn good statistics. It’s odd to think of, but how often are they going to be trying to get themselves back into games? Massaquoi, a second-round draft choice out of Georgia, found himself the constant focus of Derek Anderson (in his first start of the season, but we’ll get to him shortly), having 13 passes thrown his way. It led to eight catches for 148 yards and the potential that he has become the go-to guy in Cleveland (as Braylon Edwards has disappointed with just 139 yards and 0 TD). He’s a gamble, but if you are in need of a WR he’s likely one worth taking, though he’s not a player you want to be depending on every week.
Verdict: Worthy of owning as a bench option for now.

Mercedes LewisTight EndJacksonville JaguarsWe all know how temperamental tight ends can be, so I can’t get too excited about his fairly big week (four catches for 76 yards and one touchdown).  There’s someone like this nearly every week.
Verdict: Don’t bother.

Nate WashingtonWide ReceiverTennessee TitansThere are three receivers who seem to be taking turns at being the go-to guy in Tennessee, with Kenny Britt and Justin Gage also getting plenty of looks. This week it was Washington who had the most targets (12, with Britt at 11 and Gage at five), but Gage led the way in two of the first three weeks. Not knowing who is going to be the consistent go-to guy limits the value of all of these receivers, as this is far from a Larry Fitzgerald/Anquan Boldin scenario.   Washington does have a TD in each of his last three games, but he was shaken up towards the end of last week’s game, so you never know. I’d consider him just a low-end option as a bye week replacement at this point, since there’s no guarantee he sees the ball too often.
Verdict: Grab him only if you are desperate.

Derek AndersonQuarterbackCleveland BrownsHe’s not a starting option in one-quarterback formats, but if you are in a two-quarterback format it’s a different story.  He was extremely impressive in his first start, going 26-48 for 269 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT.  Given how bad Brady Quinn was over the first three weeks, he’s likely earned himself a lengthy look behind center. He’s proven how good he could be in the past (let’s not forget he threw for over 3,700 yards and 29 TD in 2007), and there is reason to believe that he could thrive again.
Verdict: Should be owned in all two-quarterback formats.

Hakeem NicksWide ReceiverNew York GiantsHe had a big reception, making a nice play on a screen pass to take it 54 yards for the TD, but that was the only catch he made.  He’s not likely to move up the depth chart very quickly, with Steve Smith emerging as the main man in New York.
Verdict: Not worth owning.

Sean RyanTight EndKansas City ChiefsIt was a nice game catching five passes for 58 yards and a touchdown, but he may be the best example for what I said regarding Mercedes Lewis above. You really just never know about tight ends so don’t bother getting excited over one good week.
Verdict: Not worth owning.

What are your thoughts on these players? Which would you grab? Which would you avoid?

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Portis, Parker, and More: NFL Week Four Injury Report:

Published: October 3, 2009

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As we head into Week Four of the football season there are a lot of injuries that fantasy owners need to be aware of.  Who’s going to play? Should I pick up their replacement?  Let’s take a look at a few of the bigger questions:

 

 

Jamal Lewis – Cleveland Browns

 

He’s doubtful to play thanks to hamstring problems, as he did not practice at all this week.  James Davis, expected to get significant carries, was added to the injury report due to a shoulder problem and is listed as questionable.  It’s tough to rely on any of the Cleveland backs this week, but if you are desperate in deeper formats Jerome Harrison is the only way to go.

 

 

LaDanian Tomlinson – San Diego Chargers

 

He’s listed as probable.  I’m one of the few that are extremely high on him (click here to see where I recommended him as a buy low candidate).  Darren Sproles was not all that impressive last week and despite facing a tough Steelers defense, Tomlinson should be able to make an impact.  I’d consider using him, depending on your other options.

 

 

Matt Hasselbeck – Seattle Seahawks

 

He’s been ruled out, meaning Seneca Wallace will once again behind center.  They could be in store for a shootout against the Colts, making Wallace an excellent sleeper choice in all two quarterback formats.

 

 

Willie Parker – Pittsburgh Steelers

 

He’s listed as doubtful due to turf toe, as he’s missed a few days of practice.  I can’t imagine him playing, meaning Rashard Mendenhall has a chance this week to really entrench himself as a potential fantasy option for those with a FLEX option.  If he’s available, he’s a solid sleeper.

 

 

Dwayne Bowe – Kansas City Chiefs

 

Listed as questionable due to a hamstring injury, Bowe draws a tough match-up against the Giants as it is.  He’s a game-time decision, so if you have a viable alternative you may want to turn to him.

 

 

Kevin Smith – Detroit Lions

 

He’s listed as questionable due to shoulder concerns.  Luckily, he plays in an early game so you’ll be able to make a decision either way.  He’s not going to get the Redskins defense again (who he rushed for 101 yards against in Week Three), but if he’s in the line-up he should be active in fantasy formats.

 

 

Ahmad Bradshaw – New York Giants

 

He’s been in a boot at times this week thanks to an ankle injury, but he is expected to take the field.  However, with these injury concerns, if you were hoping to capitalize on a big game during garbage time, I’d have reservations.  It would be much safer to look elsewhere this week.

 

 

Domenik Hixon – New York Giants

 

He’s out for this week, and coupled with Hakeem Nicks hurting, another big week should be in store for Steve Smith & Mario Manningham.

 

 

Wes Welker – New England Patriots

 

At least he practiced yesterday, meaning there’s a better chance he plays but who really knows.  Check the news to see, but I’d have to think he’s going to be limited if he does take the field.

 

 

Antonio Bryant – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 

Does anyone really care?  It’s going to be Josh Johnson behind center, so who knows how good the passing game is going to be.  Given the way it performed last week it can’t be any worse, but I’d shy away from him if possible.

 

 

Derrick Ward – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 

With Cadillac Williams present, any questions surrounding Ward should cause you to shy away.  He’s listed as questionable due to a knee injury, which is enough for me to look at other options.

 

 

Clinton Portis – Washington Redskins

 

The news is out that he has bone spurs in both ankles, so he’s likely going to have question marks surrounding him all year long.  Proceed with caution, but selling could be a plausible option if someone is willing to take him.  If he’s playing you almost have to use him and just hope for the best.

 

 

Mike Bell – New Orleans Saints

 

He’s been ruled out thanks to knee problems.  With Pierre Thomas reemerging last week, he now becomes a great play for the upcoming week in all formats.  Bell’s injury is poorly timed and if Thomas can have another strong game, he could be left fairly useless moving forward.

 

 

Felix Jones – Dallas Cowboys

 

He’s out with a knee injury and while Marion Barber is listed as probable, Tashard Choice is likely to see an increased role in the offense this week.  As a FLEX option, he should be a strong play.

 

 

Marc Bulger – St. Louis Rams

 

While he’s listed as questionable, it’s likely that even if he suits up it will be a back-up to Kyle Boller.  Leave him on your bench in all formats.

 

 

Frank Gore – San Francisco 49ers

 

This one is well publicized, as Gore is out leaving Glenn Coffee to start and see the lion’s share of the work.  That makes Coffee a must play in all formats.

What are your thoughts?  Which injury will have the biggest effect?  Which player have you tried to grab?

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Target Practice: Moss, Owens & More

Published: October 2, 2009

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With three weeks in the books, we are starting to see some distinctive trends as to who is being targeted by their quarterbacks and who is not.  Let’s take a look at some of the major storylines coming out of last weekend’s games and what conclusions we can draw from them:

Steven Jackson led the Rams being targeted 8 times
It speaks volumes about the Rams passing game with Laurent Robinson injured, doesn’t it?  Donnie Avery was second on the team with seven and could emerge as the go to guy on the outside, but the truth of the matter is that Steven Jackson is the team’s entire offense at this point.  He’s the only Ram worth having in your starting line-up.

Terrell Owens was targeted 5 times
That put him fourth on the team and led to no catches.  He’s not going to stay quiet long, is he?  I’d expect him to almost force Trent Edwards to throw him the ball in the coming weeks, meaning he could be in store for some big games.

Ray Rice was targeted 7 times
It was second most on the team, behind just Derrick Mason (8).  It goes to show that even if he isn’t getting all of the carries (he had 11 last week while Willis McGahee had 7), he’s going to be given a chance to contribute in the passing game as well.  That certainly helps keep him valuable, despite McGahee getting the bulk of the scoring chances in the early going.

Vernon Davis was targeted 10 times
After being buried in the Mike Singleton’s doghouse last season, he clearly has emerged as a significant part of the 49ers offense.  He also could be on the precipice of realizing all that potential we’ve heard about.  He had 7 catches for 96 yards and 2 TD, giving him 14 catches on the young season.  If he’s on the waiver wire and you are using anyone outside of the top few tight ends, he’s worth grabbing.

Randy Moss was targeted 16 times
Does it really surprise you?  It was only a matter of time before he and Tom Brady got onto the same page.

Justin Gage was targeted 10 times
Despite it leading to just 4 catches for 47 yards, it is nice to see that he is one of the prime options for the Titans.  It’s the second time in three weeks that he lead the Titans in targets, saying a lot on how he fits into the offense.

Brett Celek was targeted 9 times
Donovan McNabb can just stay away a little longer, right?  With McNabb injured and Kevin Kolb manning the QB position, Celek has emerged with 16 catches, 208 yards and 1 TD in two games.  Granted, he did have 6 catches and one TD in Week 1, but these last two weeks have been unbelievably productive.

Michael Sims-Walker was targeted 10 times
Welcome to a major role in the Jaguars offense Mr. Sims-Walker.  He led the way (Torry Holt & Maurice Jones-Drew each had seven) and that is something that could continue.  He’s a must own in all formats if he’s still sitting available for some reason.

Santana Moss was targeted 14 times
The talk of his downfall may have been slightly overblown, huh?  He made the most of his opportunities, catching 10 passes for 178 yards and 1 TD.  Obviously, he’s not going to continue at that type of pace each week but he has a lot more to offer then he showed in the early going.

No Bear receiver was targeted more than 6 times
Jay Cutler doesn’t have one elite option, therefore he’s likely going to continually spread the ball around.  That means any option could have a big week at any time, or could have minimal impact, making it tough to count on any of them.

Mike Wallace was targeted 8 times
That led the way for the Steelers, but with Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller in the mix, I wouldn’t expect his big day (7 catches for 102 yards) to come very often.

Eddie Royal was targeted 3 times
Not many looks and not many catches (1 reception for 4 yards).  He certainly is feeling the absence of Jay Cutler in the first few weeks, catching just 6 passes for 42 yards.  He should get a good rapport with Kyle Orton before long, so if someone is willing to sell him for pennies on the dollar, do not hesitate.  He’s better than what he’s shown.

What are your thoughts?  Which player who was targeted do you think is worth stashing?  Who do you think is going to continue to be ignored?

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